Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LPT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-03 4.283949 5.101904 6.011832 7.095969 8.349160 9.748817 11.426846
2025-08-10 2.951162 3.955964 5.190429 6.805903 8.849982 11.334827 14.566688
2025-08-17 2.157718 3.199859 4.591844 6.559729 9.237683 12.717886 17.538665
2025-08-24 1.704950 2.759308 4.271859 6.553219 9.849361 14.370723 20.956234
2025-08-31 1.388402 2.431319 4.025864 6.571512 10.444824 16.008121 24.460990
2025-09-07 1.131689 2.134426 3.761244 6.497467 10.860378 17.390097 27.689228
2025-09-14 0.891945 1.811332 3.392777 6.191056 10.858070 18.121004 29.986190
2025-09-21 0.749151 1.626752 3.217644 6.161945 11.269498 19.491305 33.334161
2025-09-28 0.633524 1.467650 3.057603 6.127839 11.653491 20.831422 36.718602
2025-10-05 0.589403 1.441152 3.133513 6.517049 12.790865 23.477207 42.389589
2025-10-12 0.529252 1.368249 3.107694 6.710162 13.593328 25.616185 47.366764
2025-10-19 0.488711 1.330066 3.143598 7.021469 14.633367 28.231024 53.315377
2025-10-26 0.422572 1.220917 3.020734 7.012448 15.091008 29.891715 57.798449
2025-11-02 0.347519 1.072602 2.789512 6.750939 15.035436 30.627414 60.713610
2025-11-09 0.287006 0.946188 2.584660 6.514136 14.997011 31.380714 63.700613
2025-11-16 0.249868 0.873825 2.492926 6.510006 15.425065 33.032744 68.432784
2025-11-23 0.219215 0.812206 2.416523 6.528913 15.899260 34.802350 73.493036
2025-11-30 0.188670 0.742591 2.307474 6.455512 16.164537 36.175762 77.880342
2025-12-07 0.153597 0.647870 2.114438 6.150918 15.885740 36.432039 80.110264
2025-12-14 0.133789 0.598751 2.036871 6.121993 16.222519 37.963254 84.941925
2025-12-21 0.116530 0.553418 1.961632 6.088088 16.542204 39.477478 89.827194
2025-12-28 0.113224 0.560105 2.041608 6.475079 17.892383 43.262774 99.548771
2026-01-04 0.104753 0.543995 2.049399 6.667096 18.788561 46.127143 107.526570